Hacker Newsnew | past | comments | ask | show | jobs | submitlogin

I'm still waiting for a good Bitcoin-based prediction market. I think that would be a nice application for the cryptocurrency.


Isn't this what http://betsofbitco.in does?


They do, but extremely poorly. I criticize them in the OP:

> One might wonder why I don't use the fairly active [Bets of Bitcoin](https://en.bitcoin.it/wiki/Bets_of_Bitcoin) prediction market; that is because the payout rules are [insane](http://betsofbitco.in/help) and I have no idea how to translate the "total weighted bets" into actual probabilities. Betting blind is never a good idea.


It's not a prediction market. It's just a badly-designed betting site.


A friend of mine is "working" on that. I can put you in touch if you want to encourage him.


I saw this mentioned the other day: https://www.predictious.com/




Guidelines | FAQ | Lists | API | Security | Legal | Apply to YC | Contact

Search: