I think the more complex aspects of the job are managing dependencies/politics between different groups: sales, marketing, engineering, product etc. and trying to coordinate between them and keep things on track in that way.
But nearly all of that is done online (at least for me) since folks are in different nations and work across time zones. I guess you're right to point out that aspects are complex, assuming that people remain involved to the extent they are currently.
There's also a large portion of the work (status updates, reporting, etc.) that could be automated though in my view. For me and other PMs I know, that's like at least 40% or more of the work.
To me, that sounds like you can more efficiently do the boring parts and focus on the complex parts.
I don't see AI on track to manage politics in any way shape or form. It is far too easily manipulated.
Do you have this fear because of actual things you observe at your job, or because of online discourse? I read about this attitude online all the time, but it doesn't make any sense to me personally.
Definitely agree with you on that first point for sure. I think there's quite a bit of value to unlock there for most PMs.
Regarding the politics part I also agree with you, I just wonder how much time that will take and if as many PMs will be needed.
In terms of your key question there at the end, I haven't been seeing massive layoffs or enough changes just yet. Right now I'm inbetween jobs because I had to quit my old job in December in order to move to another country (long story). I read about it online too, and have noticed hiring slowing down, but that may just be the economy or the fact that certain capex is so expensive right now.
For me, it's not easy to tell how things will develop with these technologies over time, so I was curious to hear folks' perspective here. Especially from an engineering stand point.
I think a lot of people (especially people who like to post online) like to assume that jobs that aren't theirs are not complicated. I'm an engineer, and I don't know how to coordinate multiple groups of people to produce a product design. And, having worked with AI extensively, I would not trust an AI to handle all of that for me if any money were on the line.
