The question is, after witnessing Hegseth crash out against one of their fellow contractors over practically nothing, will contractors want to walk the tightrope of doing business with Anthropic but promising it never ends up feeding into a government contract?
How is that in anyway a "tightrope"? You're on a government contract so you fulfill the spec and don't use components they don't trust. This isn't an arbitrary jobs program to boost the economy, you're there to produce a product for a customer.
Most government software contracts I'm familiar with are closer to "The government too may use this general purpose product" than "we're building something from scratch just for the DoD". I know the second kind do exist, and I'd believe you if you told me I'm just completely wrong about the relative frequency.