And as popular and widely used as Spring is, that would 100% happen. To me at least, I wouldn't count this as a particularly huge risk. But in an enterprise setting, with mandatory auditing and stuff, I can understand why there would be a requirement to at least pre-identify alternative(s).
Probably a bit of overreaction given that Broadcom is now in charge of Spring. At the end of the day it’s a wildly popular open source project — it has a path forward if Broadcom pulls shenanigans.
That said, I have noticed that the free support window for any given version is super short these days. I.e. if you’re not on top of constantly upgrading you’re looking at paid support if you want security patches.
If there's no money in it for them - reduction of staff or funding leading to slower releases and bugfixes
Moving some features like Spring Cloud / Spring Integration, or new development behind a paywall (think RHEL)
Big users (like Netflix, Walmart, JPMorgan, LinkedIn/Microsoft, etc) would likely be able to pay for it (until they moved off), but smaller companies and individual developers not so much
I think it would be more of a Redis situation - steward changes the license, someone large enough to maintain a fork creates one, and everyone moves to the fork. In Redis's case, Amazon forked it into Valkey.
Spring is so widely used that there are multiple "large enough" companies who could do this
The second highest risk is using USA based cloud with 66/100.
The first one was using Spring Boot everywhere 77/100. Till the end of 2025 we need to have migration path to something else with 2 PoCs done.