It's 1.2% cumulative over 6 passes that begin in 2032. | Hacker News

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		34679 on Jan 29, 2025 \| parent \| context \| favorite \| on: Asteroid Impact on Earth 2032 with Probability 1% ... It's 1.2% cumulative over 6 passes that begin in 2032.

NooneAtAll3 on Jan 29, 2025 [–]

1.3e-2 on the first pass, e-6 range and smaller on the following ones

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