Yeah I follow it too. There is progress for sure, one have to wonder if the CEO was very consciously lying 5, 8 years ago when he said they are less than 1 year away from robotaxis, given how shitty the system was.
They are on a path of linear improvement. They would need to go on a path of exponential improvement to have any hope of a working robotaxi in the next 2 years.
FSD isn't getting "solved" without outlawing human drivers, period. Otherwise you are trying to solve a non-deterministic system with deterministic software under a 0% error tolerance rate. Even without human drivers you still have to deal with all the non-vehicle entities that pop onto the road from time to time. Jaywalkers alone is almost as complex to deal with as human drivers.
LOL this is BS. We have plenty of deterministic software being used to solve non-deterministic systems already. I agree that 0% error rate will require the removal of all human drivers from the system, but 0.0001% error rate will be seen as accepted risk.
