For 20 watts of work on stuff like this for about 4 hours a day counting vacations and weekends and attention span. So 20 hours of rest, relaxation, distraction, household errands and stuff, so that maybe bumps it up to 120 watts per work hour. Then 22.5 years of training or so per worker, 45 year work period, 22.5 year retirement. So double it there to 240 watts. We can't run brains without bodies, so multiply that by 6 giving 1440 watts + the air conditioning, commuting to school and work, etc., maybe 2000 watts?
We're getting close to parity if things keep getting more efficient as fast as they have been. But that's without accounting for the AI training, which can on the plus side be shared among multiple agents, but on the down side can't really do continuous learning very well without catastrophic forgetting.
We're getting close to parity if things keep getting more efficient as fast as they have been. But that's without accounting for the AI training, which can on the plus side be shared among multiple agents, but on the down side can't really do continuous learning very well without catastrophic forgetting.