The people using AI to write code aren't necessarily former professional programmers, for the same reasons people using AI to make pictures aren't necessarily former professional artists, and those using aim bots aren't necessarily former professional snipers or olympic shooters.
A manager can prompt a chatbot to write a thing instead of prompting me to write the same thing — for the moment, what (I hope) keeps me employable is that the the chatbot is "only" at the level of getting good grades rather than n-years professional experience.
I have no expectation for any specific timeline for that to change. Perhaps there are enough incentives it will never get trained to that level, but also perhaps it was already trained 4 months back and the improvement to capabilities are what caused the OpenAI drama.
I mean, if we had something that capable, I have zero idea why you think your manager is going to be in a safer position to you? That seems ridiculous.
You could easily flip it around, ask the bot to manage you better than your manager and make the best use of your time, or something like this?
no one is going to be using AI and then just have it 'replace them', they're going to use it to augment their abilities and avoid replacement.