> And while I wholeheartedly agree with the crypto/GPU issue, all in all, the GPU market is overall fairly tiny compared to TSMC's total output.
From an economics perspective, it doesn’t really matter. The price of a market-rate good is the marginal price of producing one more unit. As long as cryptocurrency is financially incentivizing people to consume 100% of the marginal production, prices will continue to go up.
This also cascades down their lineup: Vendors who would like to use 7nm for their chip will instead choose 10nm, which will bump some of the customers who wanted to use 10nm back to the 12nm or 16nm nodes and so on.
I think you may be massively underestimating the lead times on those decisions. We're talking years.
Also, you can't simply choose another node last minute, your design is intimately linked to the PDK of the node. Porting to another node is far from trivial.
Yes. We've seen chipmaker MSRPs inflated, especially in the most recent releases like the 6600XT. Chipmakers are constrained by contractual obligations and PR though. AIBs have also inflated their MSRPs for cards. They seem to have contractual agreements with the chipmakers to sell some portion of their cards at Chipmaker MSRP, at least around the launch. However, to their best ability they are putting their die allocation into their highest end card variants that have the highest MSRPs. Then distributors, retailers, and PC builders mark up the cards over the AIB MSRP. Again, these are often limited to some extent by agreements with their suppliers. If all of these markups don't reach the market rate the cards are bought up by scalpers with bots and sold at the true market rate on eBay.
Nvidia already added in a hardware crypto mining block to it's latest models and they are still having massive supply issues. It's not about crypto even though everyone likes to make a big deal out of it to feel better.
The latter does not follow from the former (even if it might be true). The mining block only affects the latest batches of a few models, but profitability of mining also affects demand for the other models, for AMD GPUs, and in the second-hand market. Unless the supply of mining-blocked GPUs is sufficient to cover all displaced demand from these other segments, it doesn't necessarily help much.
They don't block all mining, just specific algorithms. It's easy enough to mine some other coin and convert to the one you want. In fact, that's often more profitable.
From an economics perspective, it doesn’t really matter. The price of a market-rate good is the marginal price of producing one more unit. As long as cryptocurrency is financially incentivizing people to consume 100% of the marginal production, prices will continue to go up.
This also cascades down their lineup: Vendors who would like to use 7nm for their chip will instead choose 10nm, which will bump some of the customers who wanted to use 10nm back to the 12nm or 16nm nodes and so on.