Hacker Newsnew | past | comments | ask | show | jobs | submitlogin

Yes but it's not actually a random lottery. The risk of death for a young person according to that page is probably 0.25%. However, not all young people are healthy. If you're healthy, it's probably close to an order of magnitude lower. More importantly, most people who got COVID didn't get tested. They just got better at home, or never even noticed that they had it. So there's another order of magnitude. For young healthy people, you're looking at 0.0025%.

I just think we should be clear about the risks. Obviously if you're older and/or unhealthy the risks are worse than presented as well.



A probabalistic event with different probabilities remains probabalistic. A lottery with different award tranches, if you will.

The original question concerned risks, and gave a clearly bogus answer. I provided the best current available knowledge.




Guidelines | FAQ | Lists | API | Security | Legal | Apply to YC | Contact

Search: