> The whole reason people are concerned about getting covid under control is that natural infection would kill around 0.5% of a population in a developed country
This number is way, way off. It's not even close to the actual number of officially tallied deaths divided by confirmed cases so far, which would itself overstate the real IFR for a number of reasons.
> or more if the hospital system becomes overwhelmed and oxygen or other standard of care treatment isn’t available.
To the extent this is even a real phenomenon, it correlates better with places which have underfunded and straining hospital systems as opposed to those which eschew lockdowns and other NPIs.
> It's not even close to the actual number of officially tallied deaths divided by confirmed cases so far
It's much lower than the number of officially tallied deaths divided by confirmed cases so far. That number is around 1.8% in the USA. If you divide officially tallied deaths by the CDC's best estimate of total infections, including unreported and asymptomatic cases, you get an IFR of 0.52%.
This number is way, way off. It's not even close to the actual number of officially tallied deaths divided by confirmed cases so far, which would itself overstate the real IFR for a number of reasons.
> or more if the hospital system becomes overwhelmed and oxygen or other standard of care treatment isn’t available.
To the extent this is even a real phenomenon, it correlates better with places which have underfunded and straining hospital systems as opposed to those which eschew lockdowns and other NPIs.