I "still" live in a hurricane area, but less so than when I lived at the beach. As OP mentions, I only use NOAA's page. Anything else is flair or outright deception [1]. Florence was bad, but the video clearly shows the reporter hamming it up.
There are people that simply cannot afford to evacuate or otherwise choose not to. When I first moved to Wilmington, I was scared of Category 1's. After living there for a decade, I didn't even prepare for anything less than a Cat 4 - unless you count grabbing beer for the inevitable "hurricane party".
While I will accept the articles premise that people can't understand graphs, my major issue is in the study [2] they refer to. The surveys are all retrospectives on assessing uncertainty after the fact. It would be like asking people why they thought a stock would go up when it ended up going down. In the end, who's to blame? Where do we direct the pitchforks? Or is it simply a call to learning how the charts work? If it is the 3rd option, then Times is fearmongering a little hard in my option.
There are people that simply cannot afford to evacuate or otherwise choose not to. When I first moved to Wilmington, I was scared of Category 1's. After living there for a decade, I didn't even prepare for anything less than a Cat 4 - unless you count grabbing beer for the inevitable "hurricane party".
While I will accept the articles premise that people can't understand graphs, my major issue is in the study [2] they refer to. The surveys are all retrospectives on assessing uncertainty after the fact. It would be like asking people why they thought a stock would go up when it ended up going down. In the end, who's to blame? Where do we direct the pitchforks? Or is it simply a call to learning how the charts work? If it is the 3rd option, then Times is fearmongering a little hard in my option.
[1] https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=ZyrRCx8-fZk
[2] https://pdfs.semanticscholar.org/f7c0/4b6eb883cf7d7fdee007cd...